GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/16/2023, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

El Paso Locomotive · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

El Paso Locomotive are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Colorado Springs are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DDWL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.0 against 51.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the USL Championship, while El Paso Locomotive holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

El Paso Locomotive

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

El Paso LocomotiveLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Colorado SpringsDDWL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
El Paso LocomotiveColorado Springs
50.9Attack51.9
52.6Defence51.9
49.1Form46.3
52.0Power51.7
1.58xG1.34
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