El Nacionalvs
UT Cotopaxi
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 3/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UT Cotopaxi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
El Nacional are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while UT Cotopaxi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and UT Cotopaxi hold a 29.4-point power-rating edge (33.0 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while UT Cotopaxi holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UT Cotopaxi
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
UT Cotopaxi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40