El Nacionalvs
Tecnico Universitario
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 3/4/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
El Nacional are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tecnico Universitario are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (WDD), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and El Nacional hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (59.4 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the Liga Pro, while El Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
El Nacional
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
62.1%
El Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33