El Nacionalvs
LDU Portoviejo
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: El Nacional 0-0 LDU Portoviejo, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
El Nacional 0-2 LDU Portoviejo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.4% | 26.6% | -13.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 31.1% | 35.9% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.5% | 37.5% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Projected Score
El Nacional 0–0 LDU Portoviejo
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
37.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
El NacionalLDLWW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LDU PortoviejoDWDDL
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
El NacionalLDU Portoviejo
21.7Attack24.6
49.3Defence68.1
17.4Form40.6
32.3Power47.1
0.46xG0.72