El Nacionalvs
22 de Julio
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 9/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: El Nacional 0-0 22 de Julio, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
El Nacional 3-0 22 de Julio
Original prediction
El Nacional
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 59.9% | 42.6% | -17.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.1% | 31.1% | 8.0 pts |
| Away | 5.26 | 17.0% | 26.3% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.3 pts
Projected Score
El Nacional 0–0 22 de Julio
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
El Nacional
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
El Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
El NacionalLLDLW
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
22 de JulioLLLLL
GF 0 · GA 11 · avg 0.00/2.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
El Nacional22 de Julio
20.8Attack13.9
48.6Defence48.6
16.7Form20.8
31.7Power31.0
0.78xG0.66