El Mokawloonvs
Masr
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 10/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Mokawloon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: El Mokawloon 0-0 Masr, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
El Mokawloon 1-1 Masr
Original prediction
El Mokawloon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.09 | 29.5% | 38.1% | 8.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.68 | 33.9% | 32.0% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 36.6% | 29.9% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Projected Score
El Mokawloon 0–0 Masr
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
El Mokawloon
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
El Mokawloon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
El MokawloonWWDWL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MasrWWDLW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
El MokawloonMasr
40.0Attack26.7
66.7Defence66.7
46.7Form46.7
53.0Power49.7
1.01xG0.71