El Mokawloonvs
El Gouna FC
COMPLETEDEgypt · League Cup · 10/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Mokawloon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
El Mokawloon 2-0 El Gouna FC
Original prediction
El Mokawloon
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.1% | 38.3% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 33.0% | 31.1% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 24.9% | 30.6% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
El Mokawloon
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
El Mokawloon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20