El Mokawloonvs
AL Masry
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 8/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AL Masry · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: El Mokawloon 0-0 AL Masry, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
El Mokawloon 2-3 AL Masry
Original prediction
AL Masry
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.60 | 25.3% | 30.3% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.79 | 32.7% | 31.2% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 42.0% | 38.5% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Projected Score
El Mokawloon 0–0 AL Masry
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
AL Masry
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
AL Masry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
El MokawloonLWDDD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AL MasryWLWWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
El MokawloonAL Masry
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power80.3
0.89xG1.06