El Mansuravs
Masar
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 10/1/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Masar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: El Mansura 0-1 Masar, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
El Mansura 2-0 Masar
Original prediction
Masar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.63 | 25.0% | 21.5% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 31.1% | 28.2% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.9% | 50.3% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Projected Score
El Mansura 0–1 Masar
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Masar
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Masar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
El MansuraLDDWL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
MasarWDWWW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
El MansuraMasar
33.3Attack72.2
61.1Defence83.3
44.4Form88.9
48.5Power82.0
0.64xG1.40