El Mansuravs
Kahraba Ismailia
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 9/3/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kahraba Ismailia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
El Mansura 2-0 Kahraba Ismailia
Original prediction
Kahraba Ismailia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.51 | 25.8% | 29.4% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.7% | 30.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.5% | 40.0% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Kahraba Ismailia
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Kahraba Ismailia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20