El Mansuravs
AL Nasr SC
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 10/15/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: El Mansura 0-0 AL Nasr SC, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
El Mansura 1-2 AL Nasr SC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.8% | 31.8% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.69 | 33.6% | 33.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 31.6% | 34.7% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Projected Score
El Mansura 0–0 AL Nasr SC
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.5%
Model confidence
34.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
El MansuraWWLDD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
AL Nasr SCDWWLW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
El MansuraAL Nasr SC
37.5Attack45.8
70.8Defence75.0
58.3Form54.2
57.5Power59.7
0.70xG0.79