El Kanemi Warriorsvs
Raja Casablanca
COMPLETEDWorld · CAF Confederation Cup · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raja Casablanca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
El Kanemi Warriors 2-2 Raja Casablanca
Original prediction
Raja Casablanca
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.21 | 9.6% | 32.3% | 22.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.1% | 27.6% | 6.4 pts |
| Away | 1.27 | 69.3% | 40.2% | -29.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Raja Casablanca
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Raja Casablanca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20