El Gouna FCvs
Smouha SC
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 10/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: El Gouna FC 0-0 Smouha SC, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
El Gouna FC 0-2 Smouha SC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.00 | 22.8% | 26.7% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.75 | 33.1% | 33.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 44.1% | 39.4% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
El Gouna FC 0–0 Smouha SC
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.8%
Model confidence
39.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
El Gouna FCLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Smouha SCWWLLD
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
El Gouna FCSmouha SC
22.2Attack11.1
55.6Defence77.8
11.1Form38.9
32.9Power45.6
0.60xG0.79