El Gouna FCvs
Petrojet
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 9/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
El Gouna FC 1-2 Petrojet
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.98 | 30.6% | 35.0% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.84 | 32.1% | 30.2% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 37.3% | 34.8% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.2%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
El Gouna FCLLDDW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
PetrojetWLLDL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
El Gouna FCPetrojet
16.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence41.7
16.7Form33.3
36.5Power44.6
1.06xG0.99