El Gouna FCvs
El Mokawloon
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 9/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Gouna FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
El Gouna FC 0-1 El Mokawloon
Original prediction
El Gouna FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.9% | 40.6% | 7.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.60 | 35.1% | 30.5% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 32.0% | 28.9% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
El Gouna FC
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
El Gouna FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60