Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Geish · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
El Geish 0-1 Masr
Original prediction
El Geish
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 34.3% | 43.5% | 9.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.64 | 34.5% | 29.8% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 31.2% | 26.7% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
El Geish
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
El Geish has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
El GeishWWLLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MasrLDDDD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
El GeishMasr
66.7Attack0.0
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form16.7
83.3Power31.3
1.46xG0.77