GGOALVIO

Egypt · Second League · 9/11/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

El Entag EL Harby · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

El Entag EL Harby 1-1 Ismaily SC

Original prediction

El Entag EL Harby

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1342.6%40.8%-1.8 pts
Draw2.9730.5%30.1%-0.4 pts
Away3.3826.9%29.0%2.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–014%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

El Entag EL Harby

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

El Entag EL Harby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

El Entag EL HarbyLDDDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Ismaily SCDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
El Entag EL HarbyIsmaily SC
33.3Attack33.3
55.6Defence33.3
22.2Form11.1
40.2Power29.5
1.26xG0.87
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