GGOALVIO

Egypt · Second League · 10/23/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

El Entag EL Harby · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

El Entag EL Harby 2-3 El Mansura

Original prediction

El Entag EL Harby

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 10:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4936.3%39.6%3.4 pts
Draw2.9930.1%28.0%-2.2 pts
Away2.6833.6%32.4%-1.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.1–012%

Predicted outcome

El Entag EL Harby

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

El Entag EL Harby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

El Entag EL HarbyLWLDW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
El MansuraLWWLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
El Entag EL HarbyEl Mansura
55.6Attack37.0
51.9Defence66.7
37.0Form51.9
49.0Power53.8
1.17xG1.00
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