GGOALVIO

Egypt · Second League · 9/17/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: El Dakhleya 0-0 Tersana, with an exact score probability of 26%.

Prediction record

Final result

El Dakhleya 1-2 Tersana

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.0829.3%33.2%3.9 pts
Draw2.5535.4%34.4%-1.0 pts
Away2.5635.3%32.5%-2.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.0 pts

Projected Score

El Dakhleya 0–0 Tersana

Exact score probability: 26%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.4%

Model confidence

34.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

El DakhleyaLDDDL

GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
TersanaDLDWD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
El DakhleyaTersana
0.0Attack16.7
75.0Defence75.0
25.0Form41.7
36.2Power47.4
0.73xG0.67
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