El Dakhleyavs
Itesalat
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 10/15/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Itesalat · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: El Dakhleya 0-0 Itesalat, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
El Dakhleya 1-3 Itesalat
Original prediction
Itesalat
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.88 | 23.3% | 19.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.66 | 34.1% | 31.3% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.6% | 49.1% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Projected Score
El Dakhleya 0–0 Itesalat
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Itesalat
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Itesalat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
El DakhleyaLWWLL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ItesalatLWWLW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
El DakhleyaItesalat
25.0Attack45.8
58.3Defence75.0
37.5Form62.5
43.2Power61.9
0.49xG1.09