GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 3/20/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ekranas are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kauno Žalgiris II are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Kauno Žalgiris II hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (29.1 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the 1 Lyga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EkranasDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 0/2
Kauno Žalgiris IIW

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
EkranasKauno Žalgiris II
31.7Attack25.0
30.0Defence43.3
18.3Form21.7
29.1Power32.8
1.15xG1.07
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