Ekranasvs
FA Šiauliai II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 9/19/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ekranas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ekranas 2-6 FA Šiauliai II
Original prediction
Ekranas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 39.8% | 45.8% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.4% | 23.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 34.7% | 30.3% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Ekranas
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Ekranas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EkranasLWLLL
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FA Šiauliai IILLLWL
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
EkranasFA Šiauliai II
31.9Attack29.2
27.8Defence25.0
19.4Form19.4
28.9Power27.9
1.56xG1.16