Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dainava · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-3 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ekranas 1-3 Dainava
Original prediction
Dainava
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.03 | 17.9% | 12.3% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.34 | 20.8% | 18.3% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.47 | 61.3% | 69.5% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–310%
Predicted outcome
Dainava
Probability
69.5%
Model confidence
69.5%
Dainava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EkranasDLLWL
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DainavaDLWLD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
EkranasDainava
33.3Attack47.4
24.4Defence65.4
19.2Form52.6
28.3Power55.9
0.69xG2.15