Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Be1 NFA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Ekranas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Be1 NFA are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Be1 NFA hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (29.1 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the 1 Lyga, while Be1 NFA holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Be1 NFA
Probability
69.8%
Model confidence
12.4%
Be1 NFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80