Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Be1 NFA · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ekranas 0-5 Be1 NFA
Original prediction
Be1 NFA
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.42 | 16.4% | 11.8% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 21.9% | 17.3% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 61.7% | 70.9% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–310%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Be1 NFA
Probability
70.9%
Model confidence
70.9%
Be1 NFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EkranasLLWDL
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Be1 NFAWWLLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
EkranasBe1 NFA
33.3Attack55.0
28.6Defence60.0
17.5Form63.3
28.9Power60.8
0.78xG2.40