1 Lyga
Ekranas
Home
Žalgiris II
AwayThe model projects 1.51 xG for Ekranas and 1.18 xG for Žalgiris II — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.33), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.Both sides have shown consistent scoring form recently — Ekranas finding the net in 7 of 10 matches and Žalgiris II in 8 of 10. That scoring reliability aligns with the xG projection and strengthens the BTTS case.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.68 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. The xG distribution places the most weight on scorelines that clear 2.5, though the margin above the threshold is not large.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesŽalgiris IIProbability breakdown
Ekranas leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Žalgiris II Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-1
Ekranas host Žalgiris II in 1 Lyga. Ekranas have recorded LLLLLL in recent matches while Žalgiris II arrive with a run of WLLWWW.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Ekranas hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Ekranas.
Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Ekranas, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Žalgiris II score first, the game becomes genuinely open.
Risk factors
- ⚠Žalgiris II are in decent form with 4 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
- ⚠Ekranas have been conceding 2.27 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
- ⚠The xG gap is narrow at 0.33 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
Recent form
Žalgiris II
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ekranas vs Žalgiris II?
GoalVio's model predicts Žalgiris II to win with 43% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Ekranas vs Žalgiris II?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.
Will both teams score in Ekranas vs Žalgiris II?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ekranas vs Žalgiris II?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.