Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ekibastuz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ekibastuz 1-5 Tobol 2
Original prediction
Ekibastuz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Ekibastuz
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Ekibastuz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EkibastuzLLLWW
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tobol 2LLLWL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
EkibastuzTobol 2
46.0Attack50.8
34.9Defence11.1
41.3Form15.9
42.9Power27.9
2.77xG1.76