Ekibastuzvs
Khan Tengri
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · 1. Division · 10/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ekibastuz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ekibastuz 1-1 Khan Tengri
Original prediction
Ekibastuz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.2% | 39.3% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 21.5% | 23.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.3% | 37.1% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Ekibastuz
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Ekibastuz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 22 · avg 1.40/4.40
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40