Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Akzhayik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Ekibastuz are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 5.00 conceded, while Akzhayik are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Akzhayik hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 67.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.8% in the 1. Division, while Akzhayik holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Akzhayik
Probability
68.8%
Model confidence
68.8%
Akzhayik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/5.00
GF 23 · GA 5 · avg 4.60/1.00