GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 5/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Akademiya Ontustik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ekibastuz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Akademiya Ontustik are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Akademiya Ontustik hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 56.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the 1. Division, while Akademiya Ontustik holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Akademiya Ontustik

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

12.4%

Akademiya Ontustik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EkibastuzWDWWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Akademiya OntustikLLWLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
EkibastuzAkademiya Ontustik
44.4Attack51.9
42.6Defence57.4
48.1Form55.6
47.0Power56.4
1.22xG1.71
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