Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ekhaya are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Red Lions are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ekhaya hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60