Eker Örebrovs
Karlslund
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Svealand · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlslund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eker Örebro 3-3 Karlslund
Original prediction
Karlslund
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.6% | 21.7% | -15.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.9% | 19.6% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.5% | 58.7% | 20.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Karlslund
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
Karlslund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20