GGOALVIO

Sweden · Division 2 - Södra Svealand · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-3 (10%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Eker Örebro 2-1 Forward

Original prediction

Forward

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.9023.7%21.2%-2.5 pts
Draw4.3021.5%22.0%0.5 pts
Away1.6954.8%56.8%2.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–310%
  2. 2.1–39%
  3. 3.0–28%

Predicted outcome

Forward

Probability

56.8%

Model confidence

56.8%

Forward has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eker ÖrebroLLLLD

GF 10 · GA 17 · avg 2.00/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ForwardDDWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Eker ÖrebroForward
40.3Attack62.5
1.4Defence59.7
20.8Form61.1
25.0Power61.6
0.96xG3.41
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