GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 9/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Freiburg II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Eintracht Trier 0-0 Freiburg II

Original prediction

Freiburg II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3039.4%35.8%-3.7 pts
Draw3.4126.6%26.2%-0.4 pts
Away2.6734.0%38.0%4.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Freiburg II

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Freiburg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eintracht TrierLWWLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Freiburg IIWDDWD

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Eintracht TrierFreiburg II
33.3Attack80.0
73.3Defence53.3
60.0Form60.0
57.7Power64.2
1.34xG1.48
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