Eintracht Frankfurtvs
SC Freiburg
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 9/19/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC Freiburg
Original prediction
SC Freiburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 38.3% | 29.9% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 25.3% | 23.7% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 36.4% | 46.4% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
SC Freiburg
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 15 · avg 3.60/3.00
GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60