Eintracht Frankfurtvs
FC Augsburg
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 9/6/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Augsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eintracht Frankfurt 1-4 FC Augsburg
Original prediction
FC Augsburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 49.8% | 36.7% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 23.8% | 25.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 26.4% | 37.6% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
FC Augsburg
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
FC Augsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 11 · avg 4.20/2.20
GF 23 · GA 6 · avg 4.60/1.20