GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 3/13/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eintracht Frankfurt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Eintracht Frankfurt are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Ajax are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Eintracht Frankfurt hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (62.7 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Eintracht Frankfurt holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eintracht Frankfurt

Probability

61.1%

Model confidence

61.1%

Eintracht Frankfurt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eintracht FrankfurtLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AjaxWLWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Eintracht FrankfurtAjax
58.3Attack58.3
61.1Defence37.5
63.9Form33.3
62.7Power43.9
2.39xG1.13
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