Eintracht Frankfurtvs
1. FC Köln
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 10/16/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eintracht Frankfurt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 1. FC Köln
Original prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 51.0% | 41.6% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 22.8% | 22.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 26.2% | 35.8% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Eintracht Frankfurt
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Eintracht Frankfurt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00