Eintracht Braunschweigvs
Holstein Kiel
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 10/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eintracht Braunschweig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 Holstein Kiel
Original prediction
Eintracht Braunschweig
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 35.8% | 44.6% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 25.0% | 23.3% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 39.2% | 32.1% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Eintracht Braunschweig
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Eintracht Braunschweig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40