GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 7/22/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Illertissen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Eintracht Bamberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Illertissen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Illertissen hold a 43.0-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.1% in the Regionalliga - Bayern, while Illertissen holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Illertissen

Probability

70.1%

Model confidence

70.1%

Illertissen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eintracht BambergDWWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IllertissenWWWWW

GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Eintracht BambergIllertissen
32.4Attack77.8
32.4Defence77.8
30.4Form77.8
34.5Power77.5
0.80xG2.47
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