Eik-Tønsbergvs
Lysekloster
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eik-Tønsberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eik-Tønsberg 1-3 Lysekloster
Original prediction
Eik-Tønsberg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.8% | 41.6% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.3% | 25.6% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.79 | 23.9% | 32.8% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Eik-Tønsberg
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Eik-Tønsberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80