Eik-Tønsbergvs
Bjarg
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 9/27/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bjarg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eik-Tønsberg 0-2 Bjarg
Original prediction
Bjarg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.36 | 12.3% | 24.9% | 12.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.85 | 15.4% | 23.9% | 8.4 pts |
| Away | 1.25 | 72.3% | 51.3% | -21.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Bjarg
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Bjarg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Eik-TønsbergLWLLL
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BjargWLWWW
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Eik-TønsbergBjarg
33.3Attack83.3
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form66.7
15.3Power74.3
1.32xG2.06