Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EIF · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
EIF are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Turku PS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and EIF hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.6% in the Ykkönen, while EIF holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
EIF
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
EIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40