Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
EIF are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Turku PS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 44.2-point power-rating edge (22.3 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
79.4%
Model confidence
9.8%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60