Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
EIF are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Turku PS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Ykkösliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20