Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EIF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
EIF are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while SalPa are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and EIF hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while EIF holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
EIF
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
EIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00