Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EIF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
EIF are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while SalPa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and EIF hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Ykkösliiga, while EIF holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
EIF
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
EIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80