Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EIF · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
EIF are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while MP are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Ykkösliiga, while EIF holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
EIF
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
14.4%
EIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80