Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lahti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
EIF are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lahti are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lahti hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 68.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lahti
Probability
60.7%
Model confidence
60.7%
Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60