Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EIF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
EIF are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while KäPa are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and EIF hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while EIF holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
EIF
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
EIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00