Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EIF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
EIF 3-2 KäPa
Original prediction
EIF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.1% | 40.1% | 7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.6% | 24.2% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.3% | 35.8% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
EIF
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
EIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EIFLDLDD
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KäPaDWWLD
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
EIFKäPa
37.2Attack39.7
43.6Defence41.0
37.2Form32.1
40.7Power40.4
1.43xG1.23