Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EIF · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
EIF are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while KäPa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and EIF hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Ykkösliiga, while EIF holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
EIF
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
13.0%
EIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20